# Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM

**Repository Path**: Guoyangggg/Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM

## Basic Information

- **Project Name**: Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM
- **Description**: 本项目实现2019新型冠状病毒肺炎预测，分别采用经典传染病动力学模型SEIR和LSTM神经网络实现，通过控制模型参数来改变干预程度，体现防控的意义。
- **Primary Language**: Unknown
- **License**: Not specified
- **Default Branch**: master
- **Homepage**: None
- **GVP Project**: No

## Statistics

- **Stars**: 2
- **Forks**: 2
- **Created**: 2020-06-08
- **Last Updated**: 2022-01-16

## Categories & Tags

**Categories**: Uncategorized

**Tags**: None

## README

# Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM
本项目实现2019新型冠状病毒肺炎（COVID-19）预测，采用经典传染病动力学模型SEIR，通过控制接触率来改变干预程度，体现防控的意义。

另外，采用LSTM神经网络实现一定程度的预测，输入前三天的数据，预测第四天的数据。下一步要增加干预值作为输入，优化输入输出的序列长度，更好地实现预测。

SEIR and LSTM prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19.

先上图
![image](https://github.com/AndyYue1893/Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM/blob/master/SEIR_basic.png)
![image](https://github.com/AndyYue1893/Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM/blob/master/SEIR_20200123_Intervention.png)![image](https://github.com/AndyYue1893/Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM/blob/master/SEIR_20200202_Intervention.png)
![image](https://github.com/AndyYue1893/Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM/blob/master/NCP_active_predict.png)![image](https://github.com/AndyYue1893/Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM/blob/master/NCP_new_predict.png)![image](https://github.com/AndyYue1893/Novel-Coronavirus-Pneumonia-SEIR-LSTM/blob/master/NCP_cum_pred.png)